Aug 27, 2012

EURUSD - 2012-08-27

Moving averages are funny things. Below we have a daily EURUSD chart with high & low 100 period moving averages plotted. Price climbed for a while, then hit the lower average, and looks like it's now reversing. A fairly clear sell signal.

Daily EURUSD chart


But what's happening on the lower time frames? With the same averages plotted on the 60 minute chart, we can see price descended  and bounced off the lower moving average.

60 minute EURUSD chart

Where's it going to go now? It's a little difficult to tell. While price appears to be making lower highs on the 60 minute chart, it's not making lower lows. There is a bullish trend line on the daily chart, but price would have to push through both moving averages.

GBPUSD & EURAUD (not shown) look to be in up trends for the moment, but their momentum has stalled.  We'll just have to wait and see.

We're looking for price to exceed 1.26, or better yet, 1.27, or drop below 1.247, which is below Fridays low and also the lower 60 minute 100 period moving average.